How it works

1. Evening: the robot looks at more than 500 big US stocks and gives each one a score.
2. Overnight: it keeps checking new prices and news. The leader can change!
3. 9:00 AM ET: the pick locks. One stock. No take-backs.
4. 4:00 PM ET: the market closes. Did it go up from the morning price? We show every result.

How good is the robot?

We tested the robot on 1004 trading days it had never seen. The pick went up on 54% of those days. A random stock went up 51% of the time. So the robot is a little better than guessing — good, not magic. It will be wrong a lot.

The guessing game

Before the market opens, guess UP or DOWN. Your guesses and streaks stay in your own browser. No sign-up, no money, no prizes — just you against the robot.

For the curious

The robot is a machine-learning model trained on 12 years of daily prices. It looks at things like recent moves, how jumpy a stock is, the overnight price change and the overall market mood. Stocks reporting earnings that day and the wildest movers are skipped. A research process keeps testing new versions and only switches when a new one does better on data it has never seen.

Questions

What is the Daily Pick?

Every trading day, before the US market opens, a machine-learning model scores more than 500 US stocks and ETFs and picks the single one it rates most likely to close above its opening price and beat the typical stock that day.

When is the pick published?

The race runs live from 5:15 PM ET the evening before. The pick locks at 9:00 AM ET, half an hour before the opening bell, and is graded after the 4:00 PM ET close.

How accurate is it?

Honestly: modestly. In out-of-sample testing the pick closed up a few percentage points more often than the average stock. Many days are close to a coin flip, and every loss is published.

Is this investment advice?

No. The Daily Pick is information and entertainment. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell anything.